Insight Turkey
Insight Turkey
Challenging ideas
On Turkish politics and International affairs

Author

Gökhan Ereli

Center for Middle Eastern Studies
Gökhan Ereli
Defying Small-State Orthodoxy: The UAE’s Outlier Trajectory toward Middle-Power Status
December 31, 2025
By analyzing the three works above, this article argues that the United Arab Emirates’ post-2011 transformation cannot be explained within the behavioral boundaries traditionally assigned to small states. Rather than conforming to the passivity, risk aversion, or alliance dependency that the small-state literature prescribes, the UAE has demonstrated a sustained pattern of strategic autonomy, assertive interventionism, and identity-driven statecraft.

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