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Evaluation of Developments in the Sahel Region within the Context of Türkiye-France Relations

This study examines the shifting power dynamics in the Sahel region within the context of Türkiye-France relations. The erosion of France’s traditional dominance in the region and Türkiye’s increasing influence have given rise to a new competitive dynamic between the two nations. The analysis focuses on France’s decline following Operation Barkhane and Türkiye’s initiatives in the diplomatic, economic, and military spheres, assessing their implications for changing security balances and diplomatic rivalry. Drawing on international relations theories, the article establishes a conceptual framework centered on the notions of regional power vacuums and the role of rising middle powers. The future perspectives section explores the evolution of power dynamics in the Sahel and potential scenarios for cooperation or competition, while the conclusion evaluates the findings in light of the broader literature on international relations, security studies, and African studies.

Evaluation of Developments in the Sahel Region within the Context
 

Introduction

 

In recent years, Africa’s Sahel region has emerged as a compelling stage for shifts in international power dynamics. Its geographic position, abundant natural resources, and persistent security challenges have historically made it a focal point for external actors vying for influence. France, in particular, has sustained significant political, economic, and military dominance in the region long after the colonial era, maintaining a sphere of influence over countries such as Mali, Niger, Chad, Burkina Faso, and Mauritania through what is commonly referred to as “Françafrique,” a term encapsulating France’s post-colonial network of control in Africa.

 

However, since the late 2010s, a new era has dawned in the Sahel. France’s traditional dominance has weakened, allowing rising powers like Türkiye to become more prominent in the resulting void. The termination of France’s Operation Barkhane, followed by a swift reduction in its military presence, has created a power vacuum that has provided Türkiye with an opportunity to deepen its engagement in the region.

 

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