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The Intersection of Grand Strategies in Turkey-Russia Relations: Reflections of Smart Alignment and Flexible Competition in the International Arena

Evaluating Turkey-Russia relations is a dilemma, as the two countries fluctuate between perceptions of mutual historical hostility and strategic partnership. An alternative perspective is needed to get beyond the impasse of this dilemma. The main purpose of this study is to explain the common aspects of the grand strategies of Turkey and Russia within the framework of the pattern and to evaluate the policies of both countries in Syria, Libya, and the South Caucasus where the interests of both intersect and occasional conflict. We propose that Turkey-Russia relations can best be defined around the concepts of ‘smart alignment’ and ‘flexible competition.’ Their bilateral relations cannot be considered black or white in the abstract, but rather take place in the ‘gray zone.’ Alternative scenarios for the future of bilateral relations are presented in the conclusion.

The Intersection of Grand Strategies in Turkey-Russia Relations Reflections of
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Russian President Vladimir Putin meet at the Russian Official Residence of the Presidency in Sochi, Russia on September 29, 2021. MUSTAFA KAMACI / AA
 

 

 

 

Introduction

 

The main purpose of this study is to provide a better understanding of Turkey and Russia’s bilateral relations by reviewing the history of those relations, especially in light of recent events in Syria, Libya, and the South Caucasus, and evaluating their grand strategies. In this regard, as a juste milieu, instead of focusing solely on their fierce competition and hostile discourse −or on the other extreme− their discourse of ‘strategic partnership,’ which has emerged through the evaluation of recent events−we focus on the ‘gray zone,’ where the two extremes come together, in which smart alignment and flexible competition are found.

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